结论之三,内生性货币供给的情况下,政府必须运用恰当的财政政策来调节宏观解决运行。同时,在内生性货币供给的情况下,通货膨胀一定是政府财政过度赤字造成的。关于通货膨胀的原因,不同的经济学流派有着不同的解释。但是,将通货膨胀完全归因于政府的赤字行为最早、最明确的论述始于哈耶克。然而,哈耶克的解释主要是从政治的角度,而不是从货币经济学的角度。
四、结束语
内生性货币供给理论提出的货币供给内生思想极具启发性,但却是以信贷市场均衡为前提。信贷配给是信贷市场客观存在的现象,无论信贷市场是自由的还是管制的。这已经是经济学上的基本共识,特别是在信息经济学给出解释之后。如果将规模信贷配给考虑进去,且不考虑其他因素影响的话,内生性货币供给将具有如下特征:内生性货币供给有通货紧缩的趋势;政府赤字是治理通货紧缩的重要;贷款期限结构是货币供给波动的一个重要因素。弄清在规模信贷配给下内生性货币供给的这些特征对我们认识通货现象很有好处。本文将将信贷市场的状况纳入到内生性货币供给的理论研究中,考察信贷配给对内生性货币供给的可能的影响,笔者认为这只是一种新的尝试而已。
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